Stephen Musings

Not on my merit but by His Grace,

INDIAN ELECTRIC CAR MARKET CHARGING AHEAD

This blog provides a brief history of electric cars and an overview of the global and Indian scenarios, setting the stage for understanding a major player’s latest innovative move.

A Brief of the 200-year History of Electric Cars 

caranddriver.com

It is fascinating to learn that electric cars were developed long before vehicles with internal combustion engines. Crude electric carriages were first invented in the late 1820s and 1830s, with practical, commercially available electric vehicles emerging in the 1890s. However, in the early 20th century, electric vehicles were not used as private motor cars due to their high cost, low top speeds, and limited range compared to internal combustion engine vehicles. However, electric vehicles remained used for loading and freight equipment, as well as in public transport, particularly in rail systems.

At the start of the 21st century, interest in electric and alternative fuel vehicles for private use surged. This renewed focus was driven by the rising price of petroleum and growing concerns about the environmental impact of hydrocarbon-fueled vehicles, the sustainability of traditional fuel-based transportation, and technological advancements in electric vehicles.

Since 2010, the electric car industry has seen significant growth. Global sales of all-electric cars reached 1 million units in September 2016, with 4.8 million electric cars on the road by the end of 2019. Sales of plug-in electric cars hit the 10 million mark by the end of 2020. In 2023, 14 million electric cars were sold globally, accounting for 18% of total car sales, with China, Europe, and the USA dominating over 90% of the market.

Leading global players in the electric car market are Tesla (USA), followed closely by BYD (China), Volkswagen(Germany), Toyota (Japan), Wuling (Indonesia), Nissan (Japan), Hyundai (S Korea), MG (China), and BMW (Germany).

The India Scenario

India’s electric vehicle (EV) market is still in its early stages. In 2022, EVs accounted for just 1.3% of car sales, with 49,800 electric vehicles sold out of 3.8 million passenger vehicles. This number grew to 82,000 EVs in 2023, making up 2% of all car sales. Sales are expected to increase by 66%, surpassing 4% of total car sales in 2024. Counterpoint Research shows EVs could represent nearly one-third of India’s total passenger vehicle sales by 2030.

The Indian government has actively supported the EV sector through financial incentives and subsidies under the Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of Hybrid and Electric Vehicles (FAME) scheme. FAME I was implemented from 2015 to 2019, followed by FAME II from 2019 to 2024. Further support will come through the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme starting in 2024. The government’s current target is to achieve a 30% EV market share by 2030.

The growth of the electric car market varies across Indian states. SBD, a global automotive research firm, assessed infrastructure readiness for vehicle electrification in its second annual report.

The report includes four crucial factors: the distance between charging points, the capacity of the charging points, the ratio of EVs to the total number of vehicles, and the ratio of the number of charging points to the number of EVs. A review of the chart above allows us to understand the variation in EV adoption among different Indian states.

The January 2024 chart shows Tata Motors as the clear leader in the Indian electric car market, holding nearly 70% of the total EV sales. Tata Motors, the third largest in total passenger vehicle sales (including EV and non-EV vehicles) in India, gained the top market share in the EV segment by targeting the mass market. The company was the first to introduce electric vehicles priced below Rs 20 Lakhs in India. Its strong brand name, focus on eco-conscious and tech-savvy consumers, and extensive network of dealers across the country were key factors contributing to its success, enabling it to capture two-thirds of the market share.

Other Players in the Electric Vehicle (EV) Market (In Anticlockwise Order)

  • Citroën (PCA – Citroën India): A French automotive brand owned by Stellantis, which was formed by the 2021 merger of Peugeot S.A. and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N.V. Citroën holds only a 0.35% market share in India.
  • Kia (South Korea): This South Korean company has captured a modest 0.40% share of the Indian EV market.
  • Volvo (Sweden), Mercedes-Benz (Germany), BMW (Germany): These high-end EV manufacturers hold 0.61%, 0.69%, and 1.79% market shares, respectively.
  • BYD Auto Co., Ltd. (China): A world leader in EVs and second only to Tesla globally in electric cars. BYD holds a 1.83% market share in India.
  • Hyundai (South Korea): Hyundai has had a presence in India for some time, but its EVs account for just 1.99% of the market.
  • Mahindra & Mahindra (India): This Indian conglomerate, which ranks fourth in overall car sales, is third in the EV segment, with a 9.16% market share.
  • JSW MG Motors (India): stands second in the EV market with a 14.26% share.

JSW MG Motors: Innovation and Ambition in the Indian EV Market

MG (Morris Garages), a British automotive brand, is owned by Shanghai-based SAIC Motor. MG Motors India was established in 2017 by SAIC and began its sales and manufacturing operations in 2019 at a former General Motors facility in Halol, Gujarat. In 2023, MG Motors entered a joint venture with Indian conglomerate JSW, part of the Jindal Group, and is now JSW MG.

JSW MG Motors has introduced an innovative ownership scheme, inspired by the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model commonly used in the IT industry. In SaaS, users access cloud-based applications via the internet, paying for usage without owning the software itself. Common SaaS applications include email and office tools. MG Motors has adapted this model for the automobile industry, launching a Battery-as-a-Service (BaaS) in September 2024, as claimed the Industry first unique ownership programme.

The BaaS allows customers to purchase their EVs at a reduced upfront cost by excluding the battery price. Instead, users pay for the battery on a per-usage basis. For example, the MG Comet, initially priced at ₹6.99 lakhs, is now available at ₹4.99 lakhs under BaaS, with customers paying ₹2.50 per kilometer for battery usage. This makes the Comet one of the most affordable EVs in the market. Additionally, MG offers a buyback option at 60% of the purchase price after three years.

While the scheme is innovative and attractive, its success ultimately depends on consumer response. Buyers will weigh the pros and cons, and the market will decide whether this out-of-the-box idea takes off.

Industry Outlook

VinFast (Vietnam): The Vietnamese automaker has announced plans to build a factory in Tamil Nadu, investing ₹4,000 crore.

Tesla (USA): Elon Musk’s plans to establish a Tesla factory in India are currently on hold, but the future is still open.

The Final Flip Flop: The government and environmental advocates promote electric vehicles (EVs) as a way to reduce carbon footprints. However, there are challenges that need to be addressed. For example, in Kerala, the demand for electricity far exceeds the supply, and the adoption of EVs could exacerbate the situation. The state is exploring alternative power sources, such as nuclear and coal, to tackle this issue.

The Hindu 14 September 2024


14 responses to “INDIAN ELECTRIC CAR MARKET CHARGING AHEAD”

  1. It’s really good My only point is you could have taken all EVs . Not car only

    Like

    1. Thanks James for the prompt response

      Like

  2. Rintu, Entrepreneur, Alumnus of Berchmans Institute of Management Studies, Changanacherry, Kerala

    “In my opinion Ev is not a full solution for reducing carbon footprint . Evs can reduce sound and air pollution but the question is

    1. How to deal with li- ion batteries which is a waste after their charging capacity? .
    2. Metals can be scraped how to deal with e waste since engines are replaced by chips and other electronics ?

    Automobile industry is in a dilemma like what to offer ? Evs? Hybrid ? Or the internal combustion engines?

    Majority of the vehicle buyers don’t go by what they want, they just follow the trend.

    Now it’s the Ev and a normal person thinks Ev is the future. But is still a question?

    Even this is a debatable topic similar to the question hen or egg came first?

    Attaching details to substantiate my point.

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    1. Thanks Rintu for your incisive comment.

      Such topics should be discussed and you are welcome to carry forward the arguments.

      I am glad you questioned the very relevance of EVs and its future. Youngsters, like you should take up the leadership in the thought process in our society.

      Like

  3. The article gives a clear picture of the evolution of EV industry in the world in general and in India in particular.It is true that there was an increasing demand for EVs. But, the low resale value of EVs makes one sceptical about the growth of the market. After all, the growth of EV market is something like a sentiment that it is very economical and ecofriendly. We are not updated about the recycling of Batteries. Secondly, if more and more EVs run on the road, the consequent electric energy supply also has to be increased. Now, this requirement is balanced by the increased production of solar energy which requires solar cells. At present, disposal or recycling of solar cells is not clear. Let us expect a clear ecofriendly vehicle regime in the near future.

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    1. Baby Joseph, thanks for the comments. These are genuine concerns that have to be addressed.

      We human beings have the potential to over ride them, if not EV, other alternative means will be discovered.

      Like

  4. Christo Joseph, Infosys

    “I feel that for EVs to be successful in India, either the range per charge needs to be significantly increased, or the country should adopt international trends, such as combining gas stations with EV charging docks. However, the latter would require additional infrastructure. To make the waiting period more appealing, facilities like shopping malls, restaurants, or other attractions could be integrated at these charging stations.
    Overall seems like a long journey for India at the moment.
    Honda is exploring Hydrogen based fuel cell instead of Li batteries which they claim to have more benefits when it comes to miles etc.

    China, japan etc have battery drop points mainly for two wheelers were they can drop the used battery and pick up a charged one available to avoid any waiting period.They have the same concept for mobile power banks as well.”

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    1. Christo, thanks for your comments. These are the means those in the industry have to pay attention to

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  5. Prof Dr Mathew Joseph, Berchmans Institute of Management Studies, Changanassery, Kerala

    “Henry Ford was a strong proponent of gasoline-powered vehicles, particularly the Model T, which he mass-produced. He believed that gasoline engines were more practical and efficient for the needs of the average consumer at the time. While there were early electric vehicles, Ford’s focus on mass production and the internal combustion engine largely overshadowed them. His vision and business model helped establish the dominance of gasoline cars for decades.

    Nikola Tesla had a complex relationship with electric vehicles. He was a visionary inventor who contributed significantly to the development of alternating current (AC) electrical systems, which laid the groundwork for modern electrical infrastructure.

    Tesla did envision electric vehicles and even worked on designs for electric motors, but his ideas often faced financial and practical challenges. While Tesla believed in the potential of electric power, he struggled with funding and support for his projects, particularly in a time when gasoline-powered vehicles were becoming dominant.

    In contrast to Ford’s mass production of internal combustion engines, Tesla’s ideas did not gain the same commercial traction during his lifetime. Ultimately, while he made significant contributions to electrical technology, the widespread adoption of electric vehicles did not happen until much later, long after his death. Today, however, his legacy is celebrated, especially as the world shifts back toward electric mobility.”

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    1. Thanks Mathew for sharing your valuable thoughts on the topic.

      There are many like Nikola Tesla (1856-1943), who contributed to the progress of the EVs. His name is already a leading brand, thanks to Elon Musk.

      It is also a well known fact that the petroleum lobby, companies and countries, were deterrent to advancement of the EVs.

      Like

  6. Great insights, Sir! As someone who has been researching the power sector in India for the past two years and investing heavily in it, I wholeheartedly agree that the future will favor those who invest in renewable and sustainable energies. I believe the next fastest trillionaire will be the one who invests or builds businesses in this space.

    The IPO of Premier Energies is a prime example of the immense growth potential we’re witnessing, alongside the planned IPOs of NTPC Green Energies, Bajaj Energies etc. It’s exciting to see the rally of companies like Tata Power, Adani Power, Amara Raja Battery, and Exide Battery, reflecting the interconnectedness of sectors benefiting from the EV boom.

    Sectors like Lithium producers (amararaja), Ev Manufacturers (Tata Motors) and companies that supply ev components (Motherson Sumi) stand to gain significantly from this shift. Also, the power ministry has asked Central Electricity Regulatory Authority (CERC) to initiate the process of coupling multiple power exchanges, a mechanism which seeks to ensure uniformity in price discovery of energy at trading platforms is another critical step toward a more integrated energy market.

    Balancing EV growth with sustainable energy sources will be crucial to avoid conflicting with green energy objectives.

    Looking forward to seeing how this dynamic landscape evolves!

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    1. Thanks Sairaj for contributing your thoughts on the topic.

      Auxiliaries will crop up to join the band wagon. They will facilitate the growth of the segment of the industry.

      Like

  7. Good and informative article. Interesting to note that early electric cars predates internal combustion engines. Over the next 50 years, it’s clear that electric vehicles will dominate the roads. Technological advancements in battery technology, charging infrastructure, and autonomous driving will accelerate this transition. We can expect to see a significant reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, improved air quality, and a shift towards sustainable transportation.While challenges such as battery (Baas is a solution) and grid stability will need to be addressed, the overall trajectory is promising.

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    1. Thanks Ciby for your complementary comments

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